I will start large with that one, first taking a look at most teams that have typically more passing back yards than their opposition.
Final result is 49,1% gain ATS.
These are mistaken,it might seem. Just remember these are wrong which may be the better group. Because these groups are favorites even more times than not really. Amateur cappers simply have no idea the mathematics of capping. You need to each time match groups vs line, not merely vs. various other squad. Around 70% amateur cappers place green on favorites.
What goes on if better passing squad is 50 or even more back yards better on avg. Gets a whole lot worse – these are 48,6 ATS. You’ll arrive to same final result if compare at groups attacking and protective passing yardage. Groups which pass a lot more than they enable, are not within the spread also .
Think about mixing those two elements jointly? Here are outcomes.
1. Team has larger unpleasant yardage that protective and passes even more back yards the their opposition – 48,4% ATS onhuge sample.
2. Same, simply with at least 50 back yards difference this time around – 46,7 % protected.
Now this is actually the moral: don’t place too much in passing capacity, it goes the line. Great passing teams obviously have very much respect in the crowd.
Hey, but how about great defensive squads that wont allow many goes by? This may be interesting. Groups conceding less transferring yards than opposition are 50,8%. Appears to be we are correct. Let summarize.
Amateur cappers prefer to bet in groups with quarterbacks passing it very much and much. It looks great, and helps Beginner cappersbelieve these are betting the proper way, if they have to bet the opposite.